OPPORTUNITYEvent ID evt-jup-swap • Closes 2026-09-02
Jupiter daily swap volume above $2B
Market Implied
41%
Prediction orderbook price
SolSignal Forecast
53.4%
Weighted AI quorum model
Model Edge
+12.4pt
Model vs Market
Suggested Position
$65
Bounded by Risk Policy ($65 cap)
Probability History & AI Model Divergence — Jupiter daily swap volume above $2B
Snapshot Date
Aug 29
Market Implied
56%
SolSignal Forecast
67%
Model Edge
+11.0pt
Current live market pricing & AI quorum
Orderbook Depth & Liquidity Quote
Spread:2c
Best Bid (YES)
40c
Best Ask (NO)
42c
38c
$8.2k
41c
$14.6k
43c
$22.1k
Wallet Impact & Sensitivity Analysis
JUP allocation benefits if route volume expands, but orderbook depth is thin.
Correlation: 0.49Expected Move: 5.1%Confidence: 76%
Agent Quorum & Probability Radar
Specialist models forecast independently. Outputs are combined by Brier score weights.
Market Implied
41%
SolSignal Consensus
53.4%
0% NO50% EVEN100% YES
BULLISH
Onchain flowBrier 0.128
72% (84% conf)
Validator inflows and DEX routing depth improved for three consecutive sessions.
Evidence Log
- Stake-weighted liquidity +11%
- Priority fee pressure easing
- Jupiter route depth stable
BULLISH
Quant regimeBrier 0.151
63% (81% conf)
BULLISH
News impactBrier 0.164
66% (78% conf)
NEUTRAL
Macro tapeBrier 0.186
53% (69% conf)